Friday, August 8, 2014

Another Aquis EIS blooper?

I wish I had taken the time for a more detailed look at the Aquis EIS before the submission deadline. One aspect I had noted for another look was the Deloitte modelling on employment presented in Table 13-9 TOP TEN OCCUPATIONS PROJECTED TO BE IN HIGHEST DEMAND.

These are presented in the EIS for both peak construction in 2017 and full operation in 2017, with the data sourced from Deloitte. The occupation classifications and skill levels are ANZSCO classifications from the ABS. I have re-sorted the table based on skill level with 5 being the lowest skilled and 1 the highest.

Construction 2017:
Occupation
Skill Level
Jobs
Construction Managers
1
473
Retail Managers
2
231
Office Managers
2
223
Building Technicians
2
210
Carpenter & Joiners
3
532
Electricians
3
515
Plumbers
3
325
General Clerks
4
268
Earth Plant Operators
4
260
Sales Assistants
5
448
Total
3485

So I can also graph the skill profile of the top ten occupations:

 
 

Nothing unexpected there so lets move forward ten years:

Operations 2027
Occupation
Skill Level
Jobs
Bookkeepers
1
810
Retail Managers
2
1707
Hairdressers
3
1304
Real Estate Agents
3
1016
General Clerks
4
1218
Gaming Workers
4
1200
Receptionists
4
954
Sales Assistants
5
3018
Commercial Cleaners
5
1026
Checkout & Cashiers
5
809
Total
13062


As probably expected this is very heavily skewed to the lowest skill level occupations. However this does represent just the top ten occupations which is only a proportion of the modelled 53,000 indirect jobs at 2027. The full modelled skill profile in 2027 compared to the current profile for the regional economy would have been a useful inclusion.

What struck me also though was the inclusion of 'bookkeepers' as the highest skill level 1. This is from the text of the EIS:

Table 13-9 outlines the occupations that will be in most demand during the development and operation of the Aquis Resort by the two digit ANZSCO categories developed by the ABS. Workers in these occupations would either be directly engaged by Aquis or already be employed in supplier businesses. Ratings for skill levels have been defined from 1 to 5, with 1 representing occupations that require the completion of a bachelor degree of higher and 5 indicating a Certificate Level I or no on-the-job experience is needed.


I have checked out the latest issue of ANZSCO at the ABS. This is a big excel file which progressively breaks occupations down into sub-groups. If I have the right section then 'bookkeepers' appears as a four digit classification (5512) with a skill level 4? This a sub-group of 'accounting clerks and bookkeepers'. Perhaps I am looking in the wrong place or could it be a typo?

3 comments:

  1. You look right to me Mark. Bookkeepers (551211) are ranked at skill level 4 (which strikes me as a bit low, so I wonder what the ANZSCO definition of a bookkeeper is). Certainly the Aquis report suggesting that bookkeepers needs a "bachelor degree or higher" and are therefore skill level 1 is too high.

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  2. The Aquis report is maybe talking about Finance Managers (132211) who are skill level 1?

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  3. I reckon ABS should shift bookkeepers up to a level 3 and downgrade real estate agents to a Level 4 in their place :-)

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